Sanjaya Baru | India Has Crucial Stake in West Asia Peace, Stability

Operation Sindhu and India's West Asian Predicament

Operation Sindhu, the mission to evacuate over a thousand Indian students from Iran, highlights a larger issue: India's increasingly complex relationship with a volatile West Asia. Over eight million people of Indian origin reside in the region, making its stability paramount for India.

Economic Stakes: India's economic dependence on the region is undeniable. Nearly 50% of India's energy needs transit the Straits of Hormuz, and over half of the $129 billion in foreign exchange remittances last year originated from the Gulf states. The UAE and Bahrain have become integral parts of the Indian economy.

Geopolitical Implications: Beyond economics, India holds a significant strategic stake in the geopolitical stability of the region, from the Mediterranean to the Malacca Straits. However, the current government's ambiguous stance on the deteriorating situation is concerning.

• The Israel Factor: While Israel's support for Operation Sindhu is noteworthy, it shouldn't overshadow broader strategic considerations and India's long-standing relationship with West Asia, particularly Iran.
• A Necessary Voice: Sonia Gandhi's call for a clear articulation of India's position is timely and necessary. India, a "civilisational state" with ancient roots across Asia, must leverage its influence.

Understanding the Conflict: The current Israel-Hamas conflict is deeply rooted in historical complexities. While understanding the past is crucial, the present demands a focus on peace. The actions of Israel under Netanyahu, however, paint a grim picture.

A Vacuum of Leadership: With the US, Europe, and regional powers caught in a web of conflicting interests, China and Russia are increasingly influential. India must seize this opportunity to articulate its own vision for regional stability.

India's Options: India possesses significant influence in both Tel Aviv/Jerusalem and many Arab capitals. Rebuilding relationships with Iran and engaging in frank dialogue with Israel, while keeping its interests at the forefront, is crucial.

• Beyond Arms Deals: India's strategic autonomy shouldn't be dictated by arms deals with Russia or Israel. Defense cooperation with other regional players (Saudi Arabia, Oman, Bahrain, UAE, and Egypt) should inform a broader, independent foreign policy.
• A Principled Stand: India's commitment to the "two-state solution" should be reaffirmed. While it may not single-handedly shape events, a clear articulation of this principle would elevate India's standing.

Time for Decisive Action: Prime Minister Modi's decision to decline President Trump's invitation demonstrated India's growing diplomatic assertiveness. This bold move must be complemented by a clear and decisive stance on the West Asian conflict. Domestic politics shouldn't overshadow the need for sound strategic thinking.

By Sanjaya Baru, writer and economist.